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Existential Risk

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IDPW06 - Future pandemics

Three trends
enhance the probability of global catastrophes

,

First, the
rising global population, more demanding of energy and

resources, leads to novel anthropogenic pressures on the
biosphere—

climate change, loss of biodiversity, etc .

Second, the
greater interconnectedness of our civilisation allows

pandemics to rapidly cascade globally, and enhances our
vulnerability to

breakdown in supply chains, financial networks, etc .

Third, novel
technologies—bio, cyber and AI —empower small groups

with the ability (via error or terror) to cause massive
(even global)

disruption. Coping with this threat presents a challenge
to governance: it

will become ever harder to sustain the three goals of
offering all citizens

privacy, security and freedom.

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