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Cancer: misfortune or carelessness?

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Peter Watson .

We may or may not get cancer in our lifetimes. How do we deal with such uncertainty? The answer to this question is important: our mental picture of how we get cancer will influence our behaviour, which in turn will influence whether we do actually get cancer.

Models of carcinogenesis presented in the popular press – and even in academic journals – often over-simplify (totally deterministic or hopelessly random) to the extent that behavioural changes seem pointless. In contrast, the Speaker will propose an analogy for carcinogenesis, based on the roulette wheel, which respects the underlying stochastic nature of the process while leaving room for us to shift the odds in our favour.

This talk is part of the Cambridge Statistics Discussion Group (CSDG) series.

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