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SUMMARY:BBC Pandemic\, Haslemere Edition: Evaluating epidemic dynamics usi
 ng fine-scale interpersonal distance data from mobile phones - Stephen Kis
 sler (DAMTP)
DTSTART:20181019T150000Z
DTEND:20181019T160000Z
UID:TALK107656@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Prof. Julia Gog
DESCRIPTION:Human movement patterns are fundamental to disease transmissio
 n\, and yet we know surprisingly little about them. Few empirical datasets
  exist that characterise how humans interact on epidemiologically relevant
  geographic and time scales. In October of 2017\, we conducted a study to 
 help address this gap. With the help of a television production company\, 
 local authorities\, and the BBC\, we recruited 469 volunteers from the tow
 n of Haslmere\, England to use a mobile phone app to record their movement
 s for three consecutive days. Using these data\, we produced an outbreak s
 imulation for the BBC Four documentary "Contagion! The BBC Four Pandemic" 
 describing how a highly contagious respiratory pathogen might spread in Ha
 slemere. In this talk\, I will discuss the Haslemere dataset and the assoc
 iated outbreak simulation featured in the documentary. I will also describ
 e how the dataset opens new opportunities to better understand fundamental
  concepts in epidemiology\, like the basic reproduction number\, and to de
 sign optimal intervention strategies. 
LOCATION:Meeting room 15\, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
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