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SUMMARY:Covid-19: a phased lift of control and other exit strategies - Spe
 akers - Luc Coffeng and Sake de Vlas - (Explicit content) - 
DTSTART:20201102T130000Z
DTEND:20201102T134500Z
UID:TALK153508@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:INI IT
DESCRIPTION:In<br>The Netherlands\, the first wave of SARS-Cov-2 was contr
 olled by what<br>politicians like to call an &ldquo\;intelligent lockdown&
 rdquo\;\, whereas the current wave is<br>being addressed by a &ldquo\;semi
 -lockdown&rdquo\;. In this seminar\, we&rsquo\;ll highlight and<br>dissect
  the main components of the Dutch control strategy and will explore and<br
 >compare the potential impact of some of these components using an<br>indi
 vidual-based model of COVID-19 transmission that included geographical<br>
 stratification\, individual heterogeneity in exposure and contribution<br>
 transmission\, and assortative mixing. In addition\, we&rsquo\;ll explore 
 the expected<br>course and outcome of several controversial hypothetical s
 trategies aimed at<br>generating herd immunity though natural infection by
  a controlled release of<br>the epidemic. Last\, we&rsquo\;ll draw some pa
 rallels between said controversial<br>strategies and what is currently hap
 pening in practice in The Netherlands.
LOCATION:Seminar Room 1\, Newton Institute
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