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SUMMARY:Mathematical modelling in the neglected topical disease eliminatio
 n era - Dr Martin Walker. (Royal Veterinary College and Imperial College L
 ondon)
DTSTART:20221012T150000Z
DTEND:20221012T160000Z
UID:TALK170582@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Anna Protasio
DESCRIPTION:The World Health Organization has earmarked many of the neglec
 ted tropical diseases (NTD) for elimination by 2030\, principally by so-ca
 lled preventive chemotherapy. Reaching these ambitious targets faces many 
 challenges\, and increasingly mathematical models are being used to evalua
 te the likely effectiveness of alternative and refined intervention strate
 gies in accelerating the path towards elimination.  Here\, I introduce the
  underlying theoretical basis of elimination and highlight some of the key
  unknowns and uncertainties in the biology and epidemiology of NTDs that m
 ay impede progress towards this goal. Drawing on examples from schistosomi
 asis\, soil-transmitted helminthiases and onchocerciasis\, I illustrate ho
 w mathematical and statistical modelling approaches are being used to reso
 lve some of these unknowns and inform policy decision-making on potential 
 solutions to the emerging challenges faced by elimination programmes. I co
 nclude by speculating on the future of NTDs\, including the feasibility of
  sustaining elimination beyond 2030. \n\nWe encourage in person attendance
  but the talk will also be streamed via "zoom":https://zoom.us/j/922110196
 83?pwd=ZUY4eHRaMkxKT3I0b215SlVtMlkwQT09 
LOCATION:Seminar Room\, Tennis Court Road\, Dept of Pathology.
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