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SUMMARY:The State of Wildfires - Doulgas Kelley UK Centre for Ecology and 
 Hydrology
DTSTART:20250121T110000Z
DTEND:20250121T120000Z
UID:TALK226156@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Dr Megan Brown
DESCRIPTION: Extreme wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent\, devast
 ating societies and ecosystems worldwide\, exemplified by the record-break
 ing fires of 2023 in Canada\, the Amazon\, and Greece underscore the growi
 ng urgency to understand their drivers and impacts. Year after year\, extr
 eme fires dominate headlines\, prompting many of the same urgent questions
 : How much is driven by climate change? What role do human activities play
 ? Who bears the brunt of these disasters? How does this year compare to th
 e last? What can be done to prevent or prepare for such events? These ques
 tions\, raised by media\, NGOs\, fire management agencies\, and policymake
 rs\, reflect the growing demand for clear\, evidence-based answers from th
 e fire science community.\nThe first of the annual State of Wildfires repo
 rt integrates climate data\, advanced fire models\, and regional expertise
  to analyse wildfire activity during the 2023–2024 season. It identifies
  key events\, attributes their causes\, and projects future risks under di
 fferent climate scenarios. Over 3.9 million km² burned globally during th
 e season\, with fire carbon emissions 16% above average. Canada experience
 d record-breaking emissions\, more than nine times its average\, driven by
  extreme fire weather and abundant dry fuels. Attribution analysis found t
 hat climate change increased burned area anomalies by up to 40% in Canada\
 , 18% in Greece\, and 50% in the Amazon\, with the likelihood of extreme f
 ire weather events rising significantly in these regions. Strong GHG emiss
 ions reductions can significantly limit the frequency of such extreme even
 ts in the future\, but even under strong mitigation scenarios\, some incre
 ase is inevitable\, showing a critical need for both mitigation and adapta
 tion to address this escalating challenge.\nAs the first State of Wildfire
 s report\, this publication offers a foundation for understanding wildfire
  dynamics and shaping solutions. Future editions will expand in scope\, fo
 cusing on actionable strategies to enhance resilience and preparedness.
LOCATION:Chemistry Dept\, Unilever Lecture Theatre and Zoom
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