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SUMMARY:Probabilistic weather forecasting with machine learning - Dr Ilan 
 Price - Senior Research Scientist\, Google DeepMind
DTSTART:20250219T150500Z
DTEND:20250219T155500Z
UID:TALK227341@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Ben Karniely
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: Leading up to 2024\, rapid advances in machine learn
 ing (ML)-based weather prediction (MLWP) had produced ML-based models whic
 h exhibit less forecast error than single NWP simulations. However\, these
  advances have focused primarily on single\, deterministic forecasts which
  fail to represent uncertainty and estimate risk\, and overall these MLWP 
 models have remained less accurate and reliable than state-of-the-art oper
 ational NWP ensemble forecasts. This talk will present our recent work on 
 GenCast\, the first purely machine learning based probabilistic weather mo
 del to exhibit greater skill than the top operational medium-range weather
  forecasts.\n\nLink to join virtually: https://cam-ac-uk.zoom.us/j/8742195
 7265\n\nA recording of this talk is available at the following link: https
 ://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/seminars/wednesday/video/\n\nThis talk is being record
 ed. If you do not wish to be seen in the recording\, please avoid sitting 
 in the front three rows of seats in the lecture theatre. Any questions ask
 ed will also be included in the recording. The recording will be made avai
 lable on the Department’s webpage
LOCATION:Lecture Theatre 1\, Computer Laboratory\, William Gates Building
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