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SUMMARY:Graphical communication of variability\, risk and uncertainty - Da
 vid Spiegelhalter (Cambridge)
DTSTART:20120613T153000Z
DTEND:20120613T163000Z
UID:TALK38316@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:27212
DESCRIPTION:In standard scientific publications\, graphical communication 
 of uncertainty is generally\nlimited to error bars.  It can be argued that
  these are both ugly and misleading\, and if\nwe genuinely want to communi
 cate variability and uncertainty to a general audience then\nmore imaginat
 ive methods are necessary.  We will look at a wide range of suggestions\nt
 hat have been made\, including funnel plots\, density strips\, spaghetti p
 lots\, fan\ncharts\, blurred icon arrays\, and 'the cone of uncertainty'. 
  I will also try and dig up\nthe limited formal experimental research on t
 hese different options.\n\nThis discussion will be non-technical and suita
 ble for all.\n\nReference\n\nVisualizing Uncertainty About the Future\n\nD
 avid Spiegelhalter\, /Mike Pearson\, Ian Short/. Science 333\, 1393 (2011)
 \; DOI:\n10.1126/science.1191181\n\nhttp://www.sciencemag.org/content/333/
 6048/1393.full.pdf?ijkey=Acpy7mOfhOfx.&keytype=ref\n&siteid=sci\n\n\n
LOCATION:MR2\, CMS
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