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SUMMARY:Estimates of the amplitude and time scale of global warming.  - Dr
 . Geoff Vallis
DTSTART:20120927T100000Z
DTEND:20120927T110000Z
UID:TALK39806@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Dr Andrew Meijers
DESCRIPTION:\nWe use estimates of radiative forcing over the past century 
 in conjunction with the simplest energy-balance model imaginable to constr
 uct probabilistic estimates of the transient climate sensitivity of the cl
 imate system. The transient climate sensitivity (TCS) is the warming that 
 will occur on decadal and multi-decadal timescales due to specified increa
 sed greenhouse gases. The TCS is to be distinguished from the equilibrium 
 climate sensitivity (ECS)\, which is the warming that hypothetically occur
 s after many centuries of increased greenhouse gas levels.  
LOCATION:British Antarctic Survey\, Room 330B
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