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SUMMARY:Do you know how much you know? - David Spiegelhalter (Statistical 
 Laboratory\, University of Cambridge)
DTSTART:20121123T190000Z
DTEND:20121123T200000Z
UID:TALK40868@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Yuhan Gao
DESCRIPTION:(Free for members\, £2 for non-members)\n\nYour uncertainty c
 an be quantified as a probability\, but how can we tell whose probabilitie
 s are best? We will look at some theory of scoring rules for probabilistic
  predictions\, and their applications in weather forecasting and other are
 as. And then we will measure your knowledge about your ignorance.
LOCATION:MR2\, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
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