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SUMMARY:Quantifying Uncertainty in Model Predictions - Lloyd\, A (North Ca
 rolina State University)
DTSTART:20130821T100000Z
DTEND:20130821T103000Z
UID:TALK46753@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Mustapha Amrani
DESCRIPTION:Quantifying uncertainty in a model's predictions is crucial if
  we are to have faith in those predictions. Uncertainties arise from a num
 ber of sources\, including uncertainty in the values of the model's parame
 ters (parametric uncertainty)\, uncertainty in the structure of the model 
 and stochasticity in the model's dynamics. In this talk I will discuss and
  apply a number of uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques to simple di
 sease transmission models. 
LOCATION:Seminar Room 1\, Newton Institute
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