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SUMMARY:GSI Research Seminar Series - When and how will human society coll
 apse? - Dr Aled Jones\,  Director of the Global Sustainability Institute (
 GSI)
DTSTART:20140429T120000Z
DTEND:20140429T130000Z
UID:TALK50037@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Julie-Anne Hogbin
DESCRIPTION:In 1972 Club of Rome L’imits to Growth’ report used system
  dynamics theory to analyze the long term causes and consequences of growt
 h in the world’s population and material economy withing a finite planet
 .  Subsequent analysis has continued to support their general conclusions 
 that there will be economic and political consequences of environmental an
 d natural resource limits. \n\nMore recent reserach has found quantifiable
  evidence that food price increase was a precipitating factor for the soci
 al unrest seen in the Middle East and North Africa in 2008 and 2011 (commo
 nly known as the Arab Spring).  The GSI is undertaking a major reserach pr
 oject to investigate the risk that natural resource scarcity and anthropog
 enic climatic change pose to humanity by exploring the possible impacts on
  resources vital to human wellbeing including food\, water and energy.  It
  will explore whether limits to the availability of key resources\, either
  through availability or unaffordability\, could lead to violent human con
 flict. \n\nThe Global Resource Observatory (GRO) Project aims to deliver a
  fit for purpose modelling tool for sustainable economic decision making\,
  including specific country level risk assessment tool to examine the like
 lihood of energy\, food and water security issues impacting the economy an
 d national security.  When the dependency of the economy on the environmen
 t and natural resources is omitted from analysis\, the level of exposure t
 o the related systemic and structural risks is underestimated.
LOCATION:LAB 222 (Anglia Ruskin University\, Cambridge Campus)
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