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SUMMARY:Emergent chance (jointly authored with Marcus Pivato) - Christian 
 List (London School of Economics and Political Science)
DTSTART:20150218T130000Z
DTEND:20150218T143000Z
UID:TALK57304@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Christopher Clarke
DESCRIPTION:We offer a new argument for the claim that there can be non-de
 generate objective chance in a deterministic world. Using a formal model o
 f the relationship between different levels of description of a system\, w
 e show how objective chance at a higher level can coexist with its absence
  at a lower level. Unlike previous arguments for the level-specificity of 
 chance\, our argument shows\, in a precise sense\,\nthat higher-level chan
 ce does not collapse into epistemic probability\, despite higher-level pro
 perties supervening on lower-level ones. We\nshow that the distinction bet
 ween objective chance and epistemic probability can be drawn\, and operati
 onalized\, at every level of description. There is\, therefore\, not a sin
 gle distinction between\nobjective and epistemic probability\, but a famil
 y of such distinctions.
LOCATION:Seminar Room 2\, Department of History and Philosophy of Science
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