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SUMMARY:Industrialisation\, inter-sectoral linkage and occupational struct
 ure: Britain\, Germany and Japan\, c.1850-1935 - Professor Osamu Saito (Hi
 totsubashi\, Japan)
DTSTART:20161201T170000Z
DTEND:20161201T183000Z
UID:TALK67260@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Dr Duncan Needham
DESCRIPTION:Economists and economic historians since Sir William Petty hav
 e long held a belief that economic development follows the stylised sequen
 ce that\, first\, the primary sector declines and the secondary sector gro
 ws\, then at a later stage the tertiary sector grows. If sectoral shares a
 re defined with respect to output only\, this probably holds in many count
 ries. As for the labour force\, however\, the developmental sequence seems
  different. Findings so far available from the International Network for t
 he Comparative History of Occupational Structure (INCHOS) have revealed th
 at in Britain\, the secondary-sector share of employment grew very little 
 during the industrial revolution\, in which the dominant feature was a shi
 ft away from the primary to the tertiary sector\, while in the case of Jap
 an\, industrialisation was accompanied by a sluggish reduction in the shar
 e of primary-sector employment (no reduction in the number of farm househo
 lds in absolute terms). Among the countries surveyed\, Germany is the only
  one whose evolution fits in with Petty’s sequential pattern.  In order 
 to account for such diverse experiences\, this paper focuses on inter-sect
 oral linkages as well as the varying capital-labour ratio across the branc
 hes in the secondary sector.  On the basis of input-output tables availabl
 e for Britain\, Germany and Japan\, calculation will be made of the direct
  and indirect effects that manufacturing growth would have on the creation
  of employment\, which will enable us to determine to what extent the diff
 erential employment creation impact on the primary and tertiary sectors ca
 n account for the observed differences in occupational structural change t
 hat took place in the three countries.
LOCATION:Lecture Theatre\, Trinity Hall
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