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SUMMARY:Three Normative Frameworks for Evidential Reasoning and their Conn
 ections: Arguments\, Scenarios and Probabilities - Bart Verheij (Universit
 y of Groningen)
DTSTART:20160928T083000Z
DTEND:20160928T091500Z
UID:TALK67664@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:INI IT
DESCRIPTION:Artificial intelligence research on reasoning with criminal ev
 idence in terms of arguments\, hypothetical scenarios\, and probabilities 
 showed that Bayesian networks can be used for modeling arguments and struc
 tured hypotheses. Also well-known issues with Bayesian networks were encou
 ntered: More numbers are needed than are available\, and there is a risk o
 f misinterpretation of the graph underlying the Bayesian network\, for ins
 tance as a causal model. The formalism presented models arguments and scen
 arios in terms of models that have a probabilistic interpretation\, but do
  not represent a full distribution over the variables.<br>
LOCATION:Seminar Room 1\, Newton Institute
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