BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//Talks.cam//talks.cam.ac.uk//
X-WR-CALNAME:Talks.cam
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon during the past 6000 year
 s - Daniel Befort\, University of Birmingham
DTSTART:20161121T141500Z
DTEND:20161121T151500Z
UID:TALK67842@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Paul Griffiths
DESCRIPTION:The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is known to vary on intraseaso
 nal\, decadal\, centennial and up to millennial time-scales during the pas
 t. Whereas shorter-term variability on subseasonal time-scales influences 
 agricultural outcomes due to drought or flood conditions\, longer-term dry
  conditions on centennial scale might e.g.\, be related to the downfall of
  the Indus Valley civilization around 4200 years ago.\n\nIn a recent study
  Sinha et al. (2011) hypothesized that abrupt changes in rainfall over Ind
 ia on centennial time-scales during the last Millennium are associated wit
 h active and break spells on intraseasonal timescales. This study investig
 ates in how far this hypothesis can be supported by analysing global and r
 egional climate model simulations for the past 6000 years. It is found tha
 t decadal to multi-decadal variability of the ISM can be attributed to cha
 nges on the intraseasonal time-scale to some extent during the last Millen
 nium. However\, longer-term variability is not found to be related to chan
 ges on the intraseasonal timescale but rather linked to sea surface temper
 ature conditions over the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool and the northern Arabian 
 Sea.
LOCATION:Pfizer Lecture Theatre\, Department of Chemistry
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR