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SUMMARY:Lies\, Damn'd lies and statistics: why it is (almost) impossible t
 o communicate risk ethically - Dr Stephen John\, University Lecturer in th
 e Philosophy of Public Health at the Department of History and Philosophy 
 of Science\, University of Cambridge
DTSTART:20170516T130000Z
DTEND:20170516T143000Z
UID:TALK71571@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Lucy Lloyd
DESCRIPTION:*Dr John's talk will be chaired by Professor Sir David Spiegel
 halter\, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk\, University
  of Cambridge.*\n\nAny claim about an individual's risk of harm is always 
 made relative to some reference class (or body-of-information): there is n
 o such thing as an individual's "actual" risk of lung cancer\, but\, rathe
 r\, his risk "as a smoker" or "as a 40 year old". This familiar claim in t
 he philosophy of statistics gives rise to a simple question: which risk es
 timate should physicians communicate to individuals in the \nclinic? In th
 is paper\, I explain why this question is so difficult\; I\\argue that som
 e standard ways of addressing it in the medical literature are deeply unet
 hical\; and I investigate the relationship between my question and the mor
 e familiar question of how we should present risk information.\n\nDr Alexa
 ndra Freeman\, Executive Director\, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Co
 mmunication\, and Dr Juliet Usher-Smith\, Clinical Senior Research Associa
 te\, \nPrimary Care Unit\, University of Cambridge\, will respond to Dr Jo
 hn's talk.\n
LOCATION:Large Seminar Room\, Institute of Public Health\, Forvie Site\, R
 obinson Way\, Cambridge CB2 0SR
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