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SUMMARY:Can Economic Sanctions Promote Peace? Evidence from China - Assist
 ant professor of politics at the University of Hong Kong
DTSTART:20171011T140000Z
DTEND:20171011T160000Z
UID:TALK87951@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Shuai Eddie WEI
DESCRIPTION:Scholars have studied the link between economics and internati
 onal peace for centuries. But the theoretical mechanisms are much debated\
 , and causal evidence on these mechanisms is scarce. We specify one mechan
 ism based on economic sanctions and test it in the context of a highly sal
 ient international conflict: the China-Japan territorial dispute over the 
 Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands. We deploy a national survey in China to measure th
 e political difficulty of deescalating a Sino-Japanese crisis over these i
 slands. Then we devise experimental treatments to test whether economic sa
 nctions can contribute to crisis deescalation and war avoidance. Results s
 how that economic sanctions sharply reduced the domestic political costs o
 f backing down in an international crisis. Our results provide rare causal
  evidence on how economic instruments may potentially promote peace in one
  of the most dangerous conflicts in contemporary international politics.
LOCATION:Seminar Room E (second floor)\, 17 Mill Lane\, Cambridge\, CB2 1R
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