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SUMMARY:(Cancelled) Escaping the 'Thucydides Trap' - Prof. Peter Gries\, P
 rofessor of Chinese Politics at the University of Manchester
DTSTART:20171108T140000Z
DTEND:20171108T160000Z
UID:TALK95161@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Shuai Eddie WEI
DESCRIPTION:Escaping the 'Thucydides Trap': How subjective perceptions of 
 a US-China power transition shape intergroup mis/trust and emotions\, and 
 American China policy preferences\, An experimental analysis\n\nAbstract:\
 n\nAre the US and China destined to fall into a "Thucydides trap" of power
  transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores the psyc
 hological processes that underlie US-China relations today. In two randomi
 zed online experiments\, we manipulated ordinary Americans' perceptions of
  US-China relations with real CNN video clips that framed a possible US-Ch
 ina power transition as either positive or zero-sum. Across both experimen
 ts\, more zero-sum news reports heightened perceptions of US-China competi
 tion\, increasing intergroup mistrust\, anger\, and desires for a tougher 
 China policy. Study 2 both replicated these findings and revealed that ind
 ividual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance moderated the
  effects of media framings on mistrust and anger. These experimental resul
 ts provide insights into the psychological mechanisms linking structural c
 hanges in the balance of power to the individual-level processes that dete
 rmine great power war and peace.
LOCATION:Room S3\, Alison Richard Building\, Sidgwick Site\, 7 West Road\,
  CB3 9DT
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