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SUMMARY:Explaining the recent 'hiatus' in global warming: models\, measure
 ment and media - Wendy S. Parker (Durham University)
DTSTART:20180503T143000Z
DTEND:20180503T160000Z
UID:TALK99247@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Agnes Bolinska
DESCRIPTION:In both scientific journals and the blogosphere\, there has be
 en much discussion of a recent 'hiatus' or 'pause' in global warming. Clim
 ate skeptics have characterized the hiatus as a major problem for climate 
 change science. In response\, climate scientists have invested significant
  time and energy investigating the hiatus and have developed explanations 
 of it that require no revision to existing theory or models. This talk wil
 l provide an overview of these efforts\, in order to illustrate some strik
 ing features of explanatory practice in climate science. It will focus in 
 particular on the important contributions of computer simulation models\, 
 as well as some of the challenges and limitations associated with their us
 e. The analysis will suggest that quantitative 'how-plausibly' explanation
 s are the best that can be hoped for in the case of the recent hiatus.
LOCATION:Seminar Room 2\, Department of History and Philosophy of Science
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