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SUMMARY:Testing for High-dimensional White Noise - Qiwei Yao (London Schoo
 l of Economics)
DTSTART:20180201T110000Z
DTEND:20180201T120000Z
UID:TALK99490@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:INI IT
DESCRIPTION:<span>Testing for white noise is a fundamental problem in stat
 istical inference\, as&nbsp\;many testing problems in linear modelling can
  be transformed into a white&nbsp\;noise test. While the celebrated Box-Pi
 erce test and its variants tests&nbsp\;are often applied for model diagnos
 is\, their relevance in the context of&nbsp\;high-dimensional modeling is 
 not well understood\, as the asymptotic&nbsp\;null distributions are estab
 lished for fixed dimensions. Furthermore\,&nbsp\;those tests typically los
 e power when the dimension of time series is&nbsp\;relatively large in rel
 ation to the sample size. In this talk\, we introduce&nbsp\;two new omnibu
 s tests for high-dimensional time series.<br> <br> The first method uses t
 he maximum absolute autocorrelations and&nbsp\;cross-correlations of the c
 omponent series as the testing statistic.&nbsp\;Based on an approximation 
 by the L-infinity norm of a normal random&nbsp\;vector\, the critical valu
 e of the test can be evaluated by bootstrapping&nbsp\;from a multivariate 
 normal distribution. In contrast to the conventional&nbsp\;white noise tes
 t\, the new method is proved to be valid for testing&nbsp\;departure from 
 white noise that is not independent and identically&nbsp\;distributed.<br>
  <br> The second test statistic is defined as the sum of squared singular&
 nbsp\;values of the first q lagged sample autocovariance matrices. Therefo
 re\, it&nbsp\;encapsulates all the serial correlations (up to the time lag
  q) within and&nbsp\;across all component series. Using the tools from ran
 dom matrix theory\,&nbsp\;we derive the normal limiting distributions when
  both the dimension and&nbsp\;the sample size diverge to infinity.</span><
 br><br><br><br>
LOCATION:Seminar Room 2\, Newton Institute
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