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SUMMARY:Escaping the 'Thucydides Trap': How subjective perceptions of a US
 -China power transition shape intergroup mis/trust and emotions\, and Amer
 ican China policy preferences\, An experimental analysis - Peter Gries\, P
 rofessor of Chinese Politics at the University of Manchester
DTSTART:20180131T150000Z
DTEND:20180131T170000Z
UID:TALK99928@talks.cam.ac.uk
CONTACT:Shuai Eddie WEI
DESCRIPTION:Are the US and China destined to fall into a "Thucydides trap"
  of power transitions leading to great power conflict? This study explores
  the psychological processes that underlie US-China relations today. In tw
 o randomized online experiments\, we manipulated ordinary Americans' perce
 ptions of US-China relations with real CNN video clips that framed a possi
 ble US-China power transition as either positive or zero-sum. Across both 
 experiments\, more zero-sum news reports heightened perceptions of US-Chin
 a competition\, increasing intergroup mistrust\, anger\, and desires for a
  tougher China policy. Study 2 both replicated these findings and revealed
  that individual differences in nationalism and uncertainty avoidance mode
 rated the effects of media framings on mistrust and anger. These experimen
 tal results provide insights into the psychological mechanisms linking str
 uctural changes in the balance of power to the individual-level processes 
 that determine great power war and peace.
LOCATION:Room CC43\, Queens' College\, CB3 9ET
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