University of Cambridge > Talks.cam > MRC Biostatistics Unit Seminars > BSU Seminar: "Making predictions under intervention to avoid causal blind spots in treatment decisions"

  Browse A-Z

Log in

University Account External (via Google)

🔐 Log In

Information on

Subscribing to talksdetails Finding a talkdetails Adding a talkdetails Disseminating talksdetails Help and Documentationdetails

ℹī¸ Information

BSU Seminar: "Making predictions under intervention to avoid causal blind spots in treatment decisions"

Download to your calendar using vCal

If you have a question about this talk, please contact Alison Quenault .

This will be a free hybrid seminar. To register to attend virtually, please click here: https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/7045e477-b689-46bc-9ec3-fe1ed827a158@513def5b-df17-4107-b552-3dba009e5990

Prediction models are increasingly used to support medical decisions, but fail to address the special role of treatments, leading to inappropriate use. In this talk I will discuss the limitations of using standard prediction models for treatment decision support, and describe “causal blind spots” in three common approaches to handling treatments in prediction modelling, with illustrations how this can occur in examples of implemented prediction models. I will argue that prediction models should specify upfront the treatment decisions they aim to support and target a prediction estimand in line with that goal. This will improve the efficacy of prediction models in guiding treatment decisions and prevent potential negative effects on patient outcomes. Finally I will review causal reasoning and inference techniques that can be used to develop and validate models for making predictions under intervention.

This talk is part of the MRC Biostatistics Unit Seminars series.

This talk is included in these lists:

Note that ex-directory lists are not shown.

Other lists

EED Film Series: 'Educating Rita' Average on weekdays: 8822.26666667 kWh Room GS15 at the William Gates Building and on Zoom: https://cl-cam-ac-uk.zoom.us/j/4361570789?pwd=Nkl2T3ZLaTZwRm05bzRTOUUxY3Q4QT09&from=addon

Other talks

Talk title TBC Title to be confirmed Polar Oceans Seminar Talk The Importance of Teaching about Science and Religion in a Time of Global Uncertainty Title to be confirmed The role of radiation in cancer care: a spotlight on cancers of the oesophagus, head and neck
 

Š 2006-2025 Talks.cam, University of Cambridge. Contact Us | Help and Documentation | Privacy and Publicity