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Estimates of the amplitude and time scale of global warming.

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If you have a question about this talk, please contact Dr Andrew Meijers .

We use estimates of radiative forcing over the past century in conjunction with the simplest energy-balance model imaginable to construct probabilistic estimates of the transient climate sensitivity of the climate system. The transient climate sensitivity (TCS) is the warming that will occur on decadal and multi-decadal timescales due to specified increased greenhouse gases. The TCS is to be distinguished from the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), which is the warming that hypothetically occurs after many centuries of increased greenhouse gas levels.

This talk is part of the British Antarctic Survey - Polar Oceans seminar series series.

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